Econophysics

Econophysics is the application of ideas from statistical mechanics to the financial markets.  Markets are complex self-adapting systems that are observed to undergo sudden transitions such as “booms” or “bubbles” and “busts” or “crashes”. Transitions in system dynamics are associated with the nucleation and growth of fluctuations, together with a threshold in the state space of the system.  Markets are also observed to obey scaling dynamics, an interesting example being the existence of the Pareto distribution of wealth among populations.  We will discuss the dynamics of markets from a physics and systems perspective.  We will discuss the statistical distributions of returns, the phase dynamics of prices, and models for the markets.  We will discuss specific markets such as the equity stock markets (NYSE/Euronext, NASDAQ), the fixed income (bond) markets (Government and Municipals), and the commodities markets (CME and Futures).   We will discuss time-dependent models for equity valuations such as the Black-Scholes equation that are used in options pricing. 

 

Lecture 18 Spanning Trees

 

Lecture 17 Portfolio Selection

 

Lecture 16 Technical Analysis

 

Ed Thorp on "To Tell the Truth", 1964

 

Ed Thorp Today

 

At the Santa Fe Institute meeting on Risk, October 2012, Morgan Stanley, NYC.

Ed Thorp: "Edward Oakley "Ed" Thorp (born 14 August 1932) is an American mathematics professor, author, hedge fund manager, and blackjack player best known as the "father of the wearable computer" after inventing the world's first wearable computer in 1961. He was a pioneer in modern applications of probability theory, including the harnessing of very small correlations for reliable financial gain.

He is the author of Beat the Dealer, the first book to mathematically prove, in 1962, that the house…

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Lecture 15 Fractals and Scaling

 

Lecture 14 Stochastic Intro

 

Lecture 13 Time Series

 

Lecture 12 CLT and Levy Stable

 

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